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Prediction for CME (2025-04-22T10:12:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2025-04-22T10:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38508/-1 CME Note: Faint CME to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source of this CME is a filament eruption stretching from N18E70 to N30E50, centered around N25E65. The eruption is seen starting around 2025-04-22T09:12Z in SDO/AIA 304 with moving/opening field lines visible in SDO/AIA 171. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-04-27T02:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M) Prediction Method Note: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/38512/1 Model Inputs: 2025-04-22T10:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-53.0, Lat.=27.0, Speed=279.0, HalfAngle=33.0, Time21.5=2025-04-22T23:19Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-04-27T02:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: Europa Clipper with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-30T18:00Z Mars with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-29T18:00Z OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-25T00:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250422_231900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 104.67 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Carina Alden (M2M SWAO) on 2025-04-22T17:20Z |
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